As the countdown to Super Bowl LVIII between the San Francisco 49ers and the Kansas City Chiefs continues, the initial betting lines established following the conference title games remain largely unchanged. BetMGM, like other major sportsbooks, favors the 49ers by two points, with the game total starting at 47 and rising only by half a point over 10 days.
Traditionally, sharp bettors hold off until Super Bowl Sunday to gauge public betting trends before reacting, finding value in adjusted numbers. While waiting, here are three prop bets to consider:
BetRivers indicates that only 30 percent of the money and 27 percent of the tickets favor the 49ers on the moneyline, with similar figures for the Niners spread. Despite this, there’s enduring faith in Patrick Mahomes, who boasts an impressive playoff record of 14-3 straight up and 12-5 against the spread as a starter. Additionally, Mahomes holds a strong track record as an underdog, going 10-3 straight up and 11-1-1 ATS throughout his career. When it comes to betting on the total points, recent trends suggest that the 49ers and Chiefs have frequently gone under the line in their postseason games.
Regarding prop bets, let’s focus on football-centric options. Prop Bet 1 suggests considering Brandon Aiyuk, the 49ers wide receiver, with an over/under of 12.5 yards for his first reception. Aiyuk has been consistent in catching intermediate routes, making him a potential target early in the game.
Prop Bet 2 revolves around alternate passing yards for the starting quarterbacks. With both teams likely to establish the run early on, it’s expected that passing yards might not rack up until later in the game. Therefore, betting on Brock Purdy to exceed 214.5 yards and Patrick Mahomes to fall short of 293.5 yards could be a strategic move.
Finally, Prop Bet 3 highlights Travis Kelce’s potential impact, suggesting he might exceed 6.5 receptions and 70-plus yards. Despite a less impressive performance in December, Kelce has shone in his past three playoff games, making him a significant factor in Kansas City’s offensive strategy.
Ultimately, these prop bets offer alternative ways to engage with the Super Bowl action, emphasizing players’ past performances and potential contributions to the game’s outcome.
